Hormuz ceasefire: Who controls the conditions in the Strait?
The Strait of Hormuz could be entering a temporary post-disruption phase where terms, not force, control transit.
Access Denied: Maritime Competition and Chokepoint Strategy
Chokepoint control is not through stopping movement but by shaping risk through uncertainty, increased costs, and selective access.
Naval Pivot: Is the U.S. Preparing to Secure Hormuz?
The scheduled arrival of two amphibious attack ships indicates planned specialised operations.
Strategic Denial: How Hormuz Is Becoming a Weaponised Chokepoint
The Strait of Hormuz is no longer just a disruption point; it is a tool of coercive economic leverage.
Signs of Naval Escorts Forming
The conflict is shifting towards a maritime denial phase where competition to control the Strait will be contested.
Lebanon’s Dilemma: Remove Hezbollah and risk civil war
The strategic window may offer Israel and the Lebanese government a convergence of interests to reduce Hezbollah as an external and internal threat.
Strategic Window: Hezbollah, Israel, and Domestic Pressure
The U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran may have presented Israel with an opportunity to further diminish Hezbollah’s military capacity along the Israel-Lebanon border.
Iran—China—Russia Nexus: A U.S. Strategic Signal
The strikes on Iranian targets through the lens of great-power competition.