The Pacific Pivot: U.S.–China and the Shadow Fleet Connection
New Zealand may need to balance Chinese economic ties and regional security interests with the U.S.
Early Warning: Turkey and NATO’s Strategic Dilemma
Grey-zone strategy has some benefits for Iran without entering into direct conflict with Turkey or NATO.
Lebanon’s Dilemma: Remove Hezbollah and risk civil war
The strategic window may offer Israel and the Lebanese government a convergence of interests to reduce Hezbollah as an external and internal threat.
Strategic Window: Hezbollah, Israel, and Domestic Pressure
The U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran may have presented Israel with an opportunity to further diminish Hezbollah’s military capacity along the Israel-Lebanon border.
Iran—China—Russia Nexus: A U.S. Strategic Signal
The strikes on Iranian targets through the lens of great-power competition.
2025 U.S. National Security Strategy: A Pivot and Regional Reset
The 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) marks a structural departure from the post-Cold War American universalist grand strategy.