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Geopol Lens
Home
Monthly Strategic Outlook
Strategic Updates
Analysis
GL in Brief
Africa
Americas
Asia Pacific
Europe
Middle East
About
Home
Monthly Strategic Outlook
Strategic Updates
Analysis
GL in Brief
Africa
Americas
Asia Pacific
Europe
Middle East
About
Critical Mineral Competition and Building Processing Capacity
Africa, America, Europe Shaun Barton 03/08/2026 Africa, America, Europe Shaun Barton 03/08/2026

Critical Mineral Competition and Building Processing Capacity

Competition for critical minerals is extending beyond securing mineral deposits towards developing industrial processing capacity and strengthening supply chain resilience.

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Before the Battlefield: Industrial Power, Supply Chains and Strategic Resilience
Europe, Asia Pacific, America Shaun Barton 06/07/2026 Europe, Asia Pacific, America Shaun Barton 06/07/2026

Before the Battlefield: Industrial Power, Supply Chains and Strategic Resilience

Competition is not only about hard power and armed forces but also about ensuring countries have the industrial base to sustain military power. Strategic competition is becoming noticeably about resources, supply chains, manufacturing, and energy security that underpin military power.

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Systems Sanction: A Russian Pressure Campaign
Europe Shaun Barton 20/06/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 20/06/2026

Systems Sanction: A Russian Pressure Campaign

What was more a war of attrition has evolved into one where resilience, adaptation, and supply chains are increasingly crucial.

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Sustaining Power: The Role of Infrastructure and Systems in Conflict
Europe, Middle East Shaun Barton 09/06/2026 Europe, Middle East Shaun Barton 09/06/2026

Sustaining Power: The Role of Infrastructure and Systems in Conflict

In a globalised world, targeting systems that support economic or military power may be how power is increasingly contested. Sanctions, disruption, or strikes on infrastructure, logistics, energy, shipping, or financial markets are part of the modern battlefield.

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Beyond the Frontline: Russian Retaliation Against Ukrainian Drone Strikes
Europe Shaun Barton 26/05/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 26/05/2026

Beyond the Frontline: Russian Retaliation Against Ukrainian Drone Strikes

Russia's missile barrage over the weekend could be interpreted as force projection following setbacks on the front line.

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Beyond the Frontline: Ukraine’s Infrastructure Disruption Strategy
Europe Shaun Barton 21/05/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 21/05/2026

Beyond the Frontline: Ukraine’s Infrastructure Disruption Strategy

Ukraine’s ability to influence frontline outcomes through systems and supply disruption indicates the war is becoming a battle of attrition.

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Sanctions and Seizures: Energy Flows and Europe’s Maritime Dilemma
Europe Shaun Barton 10/04/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 10/04/2026

Sanctions and Seizures: Energy Flows and Europe’s Maritime Dilemma

Tension is increasing between sanctions, enforcement, and freedom of navigation in Europe.

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Europe’s Hormuz Dilemma: Balancing Strategic Risks
Europe Shaun Barton 06/04/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 06/04/2026

Europe’s Hormuz Dilemma: Balancing Strategic Risks

Europe’s response to Hormuz reflects a strategic dilemma shaped by competing risks.

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Early Warning: Turkey and NATO’s Strategic Dilemma
Europe Shaun Barton 11/03/2026 Europe Shaun Barton 11/03/2026

Early Warning: Turkey and NATO’s Strategic Dilemma

Grey-zone strategy has some benefits for Iran without entering into direct conflict with Turkey or NATO.

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